Championship Analysis by Guest Writer

Week 14 – CHAMPIONSHIP WEEK
University of Tulsa Golden Hurricanes @
University of Central Florida Knights

Bright House Networks Stadium – Orlando, FL
Capacity:
45,301
Kickoff: 12:00pm ET
Line (As Of 11/28) : UCF -6.5 to -7.5
Television: ESPN and ESPN HD
Radio: AM 740 (Orlando), 1350 (Cocoa & Dade City), 1340 (Daytona) 1240 (Melbourne)
UCF Record: 9-3 (7-1), last win against UTEP. Last loss against USF.
Opponents Record: 9-3 (6-2), last win against Rice. Last loss against UCF.
Series Record: The series is now tied 1-1.
UCF Depth Chart:Click Here To See
Tulsa Depth Chart:Click Here To See

Analysis by: punk0mi of the ucflj community.

Needless to say…
WELCOME TO CHAMPIONSHIP WEEK PEOPLE!!!

UCF has done it. UCF will be hosting its second C-USA title match in three years. The irony of the whole even is that is seems to be 2005 all over again. Tulsa @ UCF for the championship…except I am betting the outcome will be different this season.

BE THERE! WEAR BLACK! BE LOUD AS HELL AND LOSE YOUR VOICE!

On to the pre-game analysis…

What can we expect from Tulsa?
Another dose of this heavy pass team. Also, expect a little bit of a different Tulsa team to show up. Perhaps one who is ready to put up a better fight than the one earlier this season. Just know Paul Smith has turned it up a notch or two in the passing game since his last visit to Orlando. Try 4,327 passing yards and 39 TD’s on the season. That is pretty darn good.

What can we expect from UCF?
Expect UCF to be fired up. This is a bit of a historic game for UCF. Not only did UCF open the new stadium this year, but they are getting host the conference championship in it too. There is no better way to finish out this year than playing in this game on Saturday. The players know that, the coaches know that, and most importantly the fans and students know that. Expect UCF to play harder than the past 2 game, and expect it to show. Expect The Kingdom to be louder than it was during the Texas game…expect it to be a lot more rowdy too.

Who, What, Where, Why, When, How?
Once again, at front and center is Senior Quarterback Paul Smith. Smith is a passing beast. As I mentioned earlier he has thrown for 4,327 yards and 39 TD. He is 272 for 444 (or 61.3%) on passes and has 16 INT’s on the season. Smith also is touting a QB rating of 164.9, that is the third highest in the nation behind no other than Oklahoma’s Sam Bradford and Florida’s Tim Tebow. Also, Smith is making about 9.7 yards per throw which is a great average. Also, Smith’s favorite target is WR Brennan Marion (Jr.). Marion has 32 receptions for a whopping 1,148 yards and 11 TD’s – and for you statistics people that is 35.9 yards per catch! Other WR’s too look for include Trae Johnson (Fr.), Jesse Meyer (So.), and to freshman Fullback Charles Clay as he is a better receiver than a rusher. RB Tarrion Adams (Jr.) does the running game pretty well as he has accumulated 1,072 yards and 7 TD’s on the season. UCF DEFENSE: This game belongs to the backfield, once again. Simply put it is going to be Clay, Johnson, and Marion versus Joe Burnett and Johnell Neal. These guys need to focus on breakup passes instead of making picks (unless they are easy picks of course). If the UCF backfield cannot kill the passing game, then Tulsa will score. Additionally, putting heat on the QB is a must as well. The D-Line must make it through Tulsa O-Line to make Paul Smith sweat.

Tulsa looked as if the defense had tightened up their game a bit, until the last two games in which they allowed 700 yards of offense. Nasty, nasty, nasty. Some may believe that it is because QB Paul Smith moves the ball down field too quick, and that doesn’t give the D anytime to rest up. Who knows. Tulsa has tightened up the D a little bit, only allowing an average of 471 yards of offense a game instead of 490.3 when Tulsa came to Orlando last time. The major players for the Hurricane are LB Chris Chamberlain (with 149 total tackles, 7 TFL’s, 1.5 sacks, and 3 INT’s), LB Nelson Coleman (with 129 total tackles, 7.5 TFLs, 2 Sacks, and 1 INT), and Alain Karatepeyan (with 93 total tackles, 15.5 TFL’s, 6 sacks, and 1 INT). The Tulsa backfield hasn’t changed too much from last time in defending against the pass as they are allowing an average of 285.2 yards per game. UCF OFFENSE: The game rests in the hands of Kyle Israel, Kevin Smith, and Michael Torres. Israel will need to spread the ball around smart. Check his receivers and make the best throw. Honestly, the Tulsa D never gets a chance to rest, so this tells me to just nickel and dime the heck out of Tulsa with the pass play until they are too tired to run then bust a big one on them. Tulsa also better bring their stickiest gloves, because they will need them to stop Kevin Smith. The Tulsa’s D has proven that they aren’t too good at defending the rush by allowing 186.6 yards per game on the ground…and that stat probably would be worse if Tulsa faced RB’s like Smith every week. So, why did I say Michael Torres? Simply because his “golden” feet need to be ready to kick the ball for FG’s or PAT’s. The O-Line will do just as good as they did with Tulsa earlier this season, so no expected troubles there. If UCF can move the ball and exhaust the Tulsa D, UCF will score often.

Other Contributing Factors:
There are many contributing factors that will affect Tulsa.

  • Home Field Advantage - DUH! I seriously expect this to be the loudest game to date. Expect a sell out! Expect the students to be rowdy as hell. Expect the place to be crazy all around.
  • For the Pride of Florida - Let’s represent Florida as being one of the only team(s) in the state to win their conference. A win on Saturday will set us up nicely for a primetime showdown with a good team in a good bowl game! Not to mention every time UCF does well, we are getting attention somewhere which is priceless.
  • We Beat Them Already - UCF has beat Tulsa already this season. In fact it was a good beating (44-23 lest we forget).
  • Weather looks PERFECT for a game: - Forecast calls for a daytime high of 79 with a 10% chance of showers. Winds are expected to be out of the NNE at 7 MPH with a humidity of 69%. Sunrise is at 7:01 AM and the tail gating starts at 8 AM…what perfect timing for kegs and eggs people.
  • Summary:
    This is it boys and girls. This is the culmination of our regular season. We are 9-3. We are playing for all the beans. A win this Saturday means we are the C-USA champions and will be going to the Liberty Bowl to play a team from the SEC. Do not down play Tulsa, this will not be like it was when we played them earlier this season. Expect them to want the title and shot at the Liberty Bowl just as much. But remember they are playing In our house, so let’s give em’ hell. If Israel and Smith get the ball moving and scoring, and our Defense stays charged, then there is no reason why we cannot be crowned this weekend.

    Additionally….I personally want a reason to make the “leap of faith” on Saturday, don’t you? What is the leap of faith? The leap of faith is the distance from the student section to the field…yes…I am talking about storming the field if we win…and I am sure I wouldn’t be the only one to do it either!

    So bring your biggest signs and banners, your voices, your painted bodies and faces, and let’s rock this joint like it’s never been rocked before!!!!

    SEE YOU SATURDAY AT 8AM FOR KEGS AND EGGS!!!

    Last but not least, I leave you with the Keys to the Game and Players to Watch.

    Keys to a Win:

  • Kevin Smith runs all over this defense.
  • UCF’s backfield shuts down the Tulsa pass game
  • Israel leads the team offensively.
  • The home town crowd shows up and makes all the noise they can!
  • Keys to a Loss:

  • UCF backfield can’t or doesn’t challenge the pass game.
  • The UCF offense just doesn’t produce.
  • UCF looks past Tulsa.
  • UCF loses the momentum.
  • Key Players for UCF:
    2 - Michael Greco - Quarterback
    3 - A.J. Guyton - Wide Receiver
    4 - Michael Torres - Place Kicker
    5 - Rocky Ross - Wide Receiver
    6 - Brian Watters - Wide Receiver
    7 - Kyle Israel - Quarterback
    9 - Jamar Newsome - Wide Receiver
    10 - Blake Carter - Linebacker
    12 - Willie Thornton - Wide Receiver
    13 - Jevaughn Reams - Wide Reciever
    14 - Steven Baker - Linebacker
    15 - Chad Alexander - Wide Receiver
    16 - Nate Tice - Quarterback
    16 - Parker Langley - Punter
    17 - Joe Weatherford - Quarterback
    18 - Javid James - Wide Receiver
    19 - Joe Burnett - Cornerback
    20 - Anthony Davis - Wide Receiver
    20 - Darin Baldwin - Defensiveback
    21 - Jordan Becker - Defensiveback
    21 - Curtis Francis - Tailback
    22 - Emery Allen - Cornerback
    23 - Justin Boddie - Defensiveback
    24 - Kevin Smith - Tailback
    25 - Jayson Williams - Running Back
    26 - Robert Batista - Place Kicker
    27 - James Jamison - Tailback
    28 - Ereck Plancher - Wide Receiver
    29 - Sha’reff Rashad - Defensive Back
    30 - Phillip Smith - Tailback
    31 - Johnell Neal - Defensive Back
    32 - Fendson Dorvilus - Defensive Back
    34 - Neil Bittong - Defensive Tackle/Fullback
    35 - Ronnie Weaver - Running Back
    35 - Omar Hansborough - Defensiveback
    36 - Augustus Ashley - Defensive Back
    36 - Karl Ober - Tailback
    37 - Breon Rogers - Defensive Back
    38 - Derrick Hallman - Defensiveback
    38 - J.T. McArthur - Wide Receiver
    39 - Muhammed De’Reese - Running Back
    40 - Willie Gaetjens - Tight End
    40 - Reggie Weams - Defensiveback
    41 - Robinson Jean - Linebacker
    41 - Blake Clingan - Punter
    42 - Jake Howard - Place Kicker
    43 - Keith Williams, Jr. - Defensive Back
    43 - Salvatore DiMauro - Place Kicker
    44 - Kyle Iketani - Place Kicker
    44 - Antonio Wallace - Linebacker
    45 - Jason Venson - Defensive Back
    46 - Ricky Kay - Running Back
    46 - Rashidi Haughton - Defensive End
    47 - T.J. Harnden - Linebacker
    48 - David Williams - Defensive End
    49 - Bruce Miller - Linebacker
    50 - James Getsee - Snapper
    52 - Jack Carter - Defensive End
    53 - Darius Nall - Defensive End
    54 - Chance Henderson - Linebacker
    55 - Alex Thompson - Linebacker
    56 - Jordan Richards - Linebacker
    57 - Lawrence Young - Linebacker
    57 - Ryan Khawly - Snapper
    58 - Tom Lewis - Linebacker
    59 - Cory Hogue - Linebacker
    61 - Mike Buscemi - Snapper
    62 - Mike Lavoie - Offensive Line
    63 - L.J. Anderson - Offensive Line
    65 - Cliff McCray - Offensive Line
    66 - Jeramy DeVane - Offensive Guard
    67 - Garrett Gibbons - Offensive Line
    67 - Jake Goray - Offensive Lineman
    68 - Cody Minnich - Offensive Line
    70 - Josh Sitton - Offensive Line
    71 - Emeka Okammor - Defensive End
    71 - Dean Wegerif - Offensive Line
    72 - Billy Offutt - Offensive Line
    73 - Ian Bustillo - Offensive Line
    74 - Keith Shologan - Defensive Line
    75 - Mike Buxton - Offensive Tackle
    76 - Jah Reid - Offensive Tackle
    77 - Nick Pieschel - Offensive Line
    78 - Patrick Brown - Offensive Line
    79 - Kyle Smith - Offensive Line
    80 - Sidney Haynes - Wide Receiver
    81 - Kamar Aiken - Wide Receiver
    82 - Kyhmest Williams - Wide Receiver
    83 - John Lubischer -
    84 - Corey Rabazinski - Tight End
    85 - Mike Merritt - Tight End
    86 - Ricky Yates - Tight End
    87 - Sergio Joachim - Wide Receiver
    88 - Adam Nissley - Tight End
    89 - Dominic Ignelzi - Tight End
    91 - Leger Douzable - Defensive Line
    92 - Rex Hill - Defensive Tackle
    93 - Matt Staver - Defensive Tackle
    94 - Wes Tunuufi Sauvao - Defensive Tackle
    95 - Travis Timmons - Defensive Tackle
    98 - Torrell Johnson - Defensive Tackle

    and last but not least

    EVERY UCF FAN IN THE STANDS AT THE STADIUM!!!!!!!!

    Key Players for Tulsa:
    QB - #12 – Paul Smith – 6’2” 195 lbs
    FB - #9 – Charles Clay – 6′3”, 222 lbs
    WR - #4 – Brennan Marion – 6’1”, 185 lbs
    RB - #25 – Tarrion Adams – 6’1”, 210 lbs
    Who cares!!!! UCF! UCF! UCF! UCF!

    Go Knights!
    2007 C-USA EAST Division Champs!!!!

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